IFK Goteborg vs Malmo
Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 28. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg.
What's at stake. IFK Goteborg are 9th on 38 points after 27 games, level on points with AIK Stockholm, 1 point clear of Gais. A win would take them above AIK Stockholm. Malmo are 7th on 40 points after 27 games, 4 points behind Vasteras SK FK, 2 points clear of AIK Stockholm. IFK Goteborg have nothing left to play for. Malmo have nothing left to play for.
Form. IFK Goteborg have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D W. In this competition IFK Goteborg have gone L D D D W W. Malmo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Malmo have gone L W D L W L.
The numbers. IFK Goteborg score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. IFK Goteborg average 14.0 shots (4.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Malmo score one and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Malmo average 17.0 shots (5.6 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings IFK Goteborg have won two, drawn two and lost four. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, IFK Goteborg won one, one was drawn and Malmo won two. The last time they met, on 12 Jul 2026, it finished IFK Goteborg 0-4 Malmo: IFK Goteborg had 17 shots to 19, 38% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. IFK Goteborg are the form side, but the meetings favour Malmo: in the last eight meetings, IFK Goteborg won two, Malmo won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%; five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: IFK Goteborg 1-1 Malmo (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).