Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Ceres Park & Arena, Århus.
What's at stake. AGF Aarhus are 8th on 12 points after 13 games, 4 points behind AC Horsens, level on points with Silkeborg. AC Horsens are 7th on 16 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Odense, 4 points clear of Aarhus. A win would take them above Odense.
Form. AGF Aarhus have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. AC Horsens have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D.
The numbers. AGF Aarhus score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AGF Aarhus average 14.0 shots (3.2 on target), 6.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. AC Horsens score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Horsens average 14.1 shots (5.4 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last five meetings AGF Aarhus have won three, drawn one and lost one. Three of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, AGF Aarhus won two, one was drawn and AC Horsens won one. The last time they met, on 20 Sep 2026, it finished AGF Aarhus 2-2 AC Horsens: AGF Aarhus had 14 shots to 20, 47% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. AC Horsens's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. AGF Aarhus or the draw. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Three of the last five meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (AGF Aarhus: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5; AC Horsens: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.22. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: 1X2 - 2UP: AGF Aarhus (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AGF Aarhus 2-1 AC Horsens (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).