ENGLAND AMATEUR - ISTHMIAN LEAGUE, PR. DIV

LFLEW

20:45Tue 3 Nov

DAR

Lewes FC vs Dartford FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Isthmian League, Pr. Div. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Lewes FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Dartford FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.

The numbers. Lewes FC score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Lewes FC average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Dartford FC score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Dartford FC average 5.5 corners and 0.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 58%.

The read. No firm call: Lewes FC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Lewes FC the likelier winners; Lewes FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lewes FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Dartford FC Under 1.5 goals (Dartford FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Lewes FC 2-1 Dartford FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Lewes FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEW 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Lewes FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Dartford FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Dartford FC's level · Dartford FC: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEW 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 6 (100%)93.3%

Lewes FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Dartford FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Dartford FC's level · Dartford FC: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

LEW 6 of 8 (75%) · DAR 5 of 6 (83%)55.4%

Lewes FC: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Dartford FC: both scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Dartford FC's level · Dartford FC: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

LEWES FC GOALS

Lewes FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEW 8 of 8 (100%) · DAR 6 of 6 (100%)81%

Lewes FC scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Dartford FC conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Dartford FC's level · Dartford FC: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level

DARTFORD FC GOALS

Dartford FC Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LEW 5 of 6 (83%) · DAR 6 of 8 (75%)67.6%

Dartford FC scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Lewes FC conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Dartford FC: only games against sides at Lewes FC's level · Lewes FC: only games against sides at Dartford FC's level

Left off the list: Dartford FC Under 1.5 goals (Dartford FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.6%

Lewes FC goals →

Dartford FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-08%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.4%

1-40.7%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

LEWES FCDDWWWLLWLL1.40 PPG

DARTFORD FCLWLLWLLWWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LEWES FC HOMExDARTFORD FC AWAY

1.57SCORED A GAME1.571.14CONCEDED A GAME1.5070%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.501.50CARDS A GAME0.75

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.85POINTS A GAME1.71+0.31GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.07–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.613LEAGUE GAMES14

Lewes FC: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

77%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

66%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LEWES FC OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

DARTFORD FC OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LEWES FCxDARTFORD FC

6GAMES81.33SCORED A GAME1.881.17CONCEDED A GAME1.752.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.667%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS88%33%BOTH SCORE62%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lewes FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Dartford FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Lewes FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Dartford FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards