SPAIN AMATEUR - TERCERA FEDERACION, GROUP 10

CCCON

17:00Sun 1 Nov

BOL

Conil CF vs Bollullos CF

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 10. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. Conil CF have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. Bollullos CF have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D L.

The numbers. Conil CF score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Conil CF average 8.0 shots (4.0 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game. Bollullos CF score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Bollullos CF average 8.6 shots (2.6 on target), 3.9 corners and 5.4 cards a game.

The case against. Bollullos CF's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. Conil CF to win. A tight game. Conil CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Conil CF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Conil CF Over 0.5 Goals (Conil CF's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Conil CF to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Conil CF 1-0 Bollullos CF (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Conil CF or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CON 5 of 7 (71%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%

Conil CF: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Bollullos CF: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level

Conil CF (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CON 2 of 6 (33%) · BOL 6 of 8 (75%)54.2%

Conil CF won 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Bollullos CF lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 54% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level · won 7, refunded 1, lost 1

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CON 7 of 7 (100%) · BOL 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

Conil CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Bollullos CF: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CON 7 of 7 (100%) · BOL 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%

Conil CF: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Bollullos CF: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CON 6 of 7 (86%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%

Conil CF: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Bollullos CF: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.64

CON 4 of 7 (57%) · BOL 4 of 5 (80%)66.9%

Conil CF: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Bollullos CF: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · Conil CF: only games against sides at Bollullos CF's level · Bollullos CF: only games against sides at Conil CF's level

Left off the list: Conil CF Over 0.5 Goals (Conil CF's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Conil CF to Win (the numbers (38%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 13.1%

Conil CF goals →

Bollullos CF goals ↓

0-013%

1-013%

2-08%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-26%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.4%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.5%

1-40.5%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CONIL CFWLWLLLWLWD1.30 PPG

BOLLULLOS CFWLLDLLDWLL0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CONIL CF HOMExBOLLULLOS CF AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME0.901.30CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.33CORNERS A GAME3.863.67CARDS A GAME5.43

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Conil CF have scored in 60% of their games.

Bollullos CF have scored in 50% of their games.

Conil CF kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Bollullos CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards