ENGLAND AMATEUR - SOUTHERN LEAGUE PREMIER SOUTH

PPPLY

20:45Tue 3 Nov

UXB

Plymouth Parkway vs Uxbridge FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Southern League Premier South. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.

Form. Plymouth Parkway have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Uxbridge FC have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L.

The numbers. Plymouth Parkway score 1.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Uxbridge FC score two and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Uxbridge FC average 6.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 40% against the records' 71%.

The read. No firm call: Uxbridge FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Uxbridge FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Uxbridge FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Uxbridge FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Uxbridge FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Plymouth Parkway 1-1 Uxbridge FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PLY 6 of 7 (86%) · UXB 5 of 5 (100%)95.5%

Plymouth Parkway: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Uxbridge FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Plymouth Parkway: only games against sides at Uxbridge FC's level · Uxbridge FC: only games against sides at Plymouth Parkway's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PLY 6 of 7 (86%) · UXB 5 of 5 (100%)88.6%

Plymouth Parkway: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Uxbridge FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Plymouth Parkway: only games against sides at Uxbridge FC's level · Uxbridge FC: only games against sides at Plymouth Parkway's level

UXBRIDGE FC GOALS

Uxbridge FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

PLY 5 of 5 (100%) · UXB 5 of 7 (71%)72%

Uxbridge FC scored in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Parkway conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Uxbridge FC: only games against sides at Plymouth Parkway's level · Plymouth Parkway: only games against sides at Uxbridge FC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Uxbridge FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Uxbridge FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

Plymouth Parkway goals →

Uxbridge FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.9%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

PLYMOUTH PARKWAYLWLWWLWDLW1.60 PPG

UXBRIDGE FCWWWWLWWWWW2.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY HOMExUXBRIDGE FC AWAY

2.07SCORED A GAME2.081.29CONCEDED A GAME0.6250%BOTH SCORED30%30%CLEAN SHEETS60%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.86POINTS A GAME2.46+0.79GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.46–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.71.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.014LEAGUE GAMES13

Uxbridge FC: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

83%

NO · 85/90

PLYMOUTH PARKWAY OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

UXBRIDGE FC OR DRAW

34%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

PLYMOUTH PARKWAYxUXBRIDGE FC

6GAMES52.67SCORED A GAME1.400.33CONCEDED A GAME0.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.083%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%50%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%33%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Plymouth Parkway have scored in 80% of their games.

Uxbridge FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Plymouth Parkway kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Uxbridge FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table