INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE ELITE

TTTRA

17:00Mon 2 Nov

FKN

Tractor Tabriz vs FK Neftchi Fargona

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sultan Qaboos Sports Complex, Muscat, a neutral ground.

What's at stake. Tractor Tabriz are 13th on 1 point after 3 games, 1 point behind Pakhtakor, level on points with Al Sadd. A win would take them above Pakhtakor. FK Neftchi Fargona are 10th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Al-Nassr, level on points with Al Quwa Al Jawiya. A win would take them above Al-Nassr.

Form. Tractor Tabriz have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. FK Neftchi Fargona have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. Tractor Tabriz score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Tractor Tabriz average 3.2 shots (1.0 on target), 1.6 corners and 0.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. FK Neftchi Fargona score 1.9 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. FK Neftchi Fargona average 10.6 shots (4.4 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The case against. Tractor Tabriz's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. FK Neftchi Fargona to win. FK Neftchi Fargona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Neftchi Fargona.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Neftchi Fargona Over 0.5 goals (Tractor Tabriz's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Tractor Tabriz Under 1.5 goals (FK Neftchi Fargona's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); FK Neftchi Fargona (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Tractor Tabriz 0-1 FK Neftchi Fargona (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FK Neftchi Fargona or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 10 of 10 (100%) · FKN 7 of 10 (70%)85%

FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tractor Tabriz: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

FK Neftchi Fargona win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.45

TRA 10 of 10 (100%) · FKN 5 of 10 (50%)75%

FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tractor Tabriz: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

FK Neftchi Fargona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.25

TRA 5 of 10 (50%) · FKN 9 of 10 (90%)70%

FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Tractor Tabriz: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

FK Neftchi Fargona or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

TRA 3 of 5 (60%) · FKN 7 of 9 (78%)68.1%

FK Neftchi Fargona scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tractor Tabriz trailed or failed to win in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues)

FK Neftchi Fargona 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

2.18

TRA 3 of 5 (60%) · FKN 6 of 9 (67%)57%

FK Neftchi Fargona scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Tractor Tabriz trailed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

TRA 8 of 10 (80%) · FKN 10 of 10 (100%)90%

Tractor Tabriz: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.47

TRA 5 of 10 (50%) · FKN 8 of 10 (80%)65%

Tractor Tabriz: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.13

TRA 9 of 9 (100%) · FKN 6 of 10 (60%)80%

Tractor Tabriz: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

TRA 9 of 9 (100%) · FKN 3 of 10 (30%)65%

Tractor Tabriz: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona: the bet landed in 3 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores

CORNERS

Over 3.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TRA 3 of 5 (60%) · FKN 9 of 9 (100%)80%

Tractor Tabriz's games: over 3.5 corners in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · FK Neftchi Fargona's games: over 3.5 corners in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: FK Neftchi Fargona Over 0.5 goals (Tractor Tabriz's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Tractor Tabriz Under 1.5 goals (FK Neftchi Fargona's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); FK Neftchi Fargona (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (47%) and the records (56%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.3%

Tractor Tabriz goals →

FK Neftchi Fargona goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

TRACTOR TABRIZWDWLLDDLWL1.20 PPG

FK NEFTCHI FARGONALWWWDLWLWL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TRACTOR TABRIZ HOMExFK NEFTCHI FARGONA AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.900.80CONCEDED A GAME2.1050%CLEAN SHEETS20%67%FAILED TO SCORE0%1.60CORNERS A GAME6.560.40CARDS A GAME2.22

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.22POINTS A GAME2.09+1.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.73–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.69LEAGUE GAMES11

FK Neftchi Fargona: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TRACTOR TABRIZ OR DRAW

73%

NO · 80/85

FK NEFTCHI FARGONA OR DRAW

42%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRACTOR TABRIZxFK NEFTCHI FARGONA

5GAMES61.60SCORED A GAME2.330.20CONCEDED A GAME2.171.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.560%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%20%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Tractor Tabriz have scored in 50% of their games.

FK Neftchi Fargona have scored in 100% of their games.

Tractor Tabriz kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

FK Neftchi Fargona kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards