Al Wasl FC vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Al Wasl FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L.
The numbers. Al Wasl FC score 2.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Al Wasl FC average 13.0 shots (5.9 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Al Quwa Al Jawiya score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Al Quwa Al Jawiya average 6.9 shots (2.5 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Al Wasl FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Al Wasl FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Wasl FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Wasl FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Al Quwa Al Jawiya Under 1.5 goals (Al Wasl FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al Wasl FC 1-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).