Al Sadd SC vs Al Ahli Saudi FC
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium, Doha.
What's at stake. Al Sadd SC are 14th on 1 point after 3 games, level on points with Tractor Sazi, 1 point clear of Al-Gharafa. A win would take them above Tractor Sazi. Al Ahli Saudi FC are 3rd on 7 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 1 point clear of Esteghlal FC. A win would take them above Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Form. Al Sadd SC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Al Ahli Saudi FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W.
The numbers. Al Sadd SC score 2.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Al Sadd SC average 13.2 shots (5.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. Al Ahli Saudi FC score 2.3 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Al Ahli Saudi FC average 12.3 shots (4.9 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Al Sadd SC have won two, drawn one and lost three. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Al Sadd SC won one and Al Ahli Saudi FC won three. The last time they met, on 4 Nov 2025, it finished Al Sadd SC 1-2 Al Ahli Saudi FC: Al Sadd SC had 15 shots to 6, 59% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Al Sadd SC the likelier winners, but Al Ahli Saudi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ahli Saudi FC; the meetings favour Al Ahli Saudi FC.
The case against. Al Sadd SC's record still gives them 43% to win.
The read. Al Ahli Saudi FC or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Al Sadd SC the likelier winners; Al Ahli Saudi FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Ahli Saudi FC; the meetings favour Al Ahli Saudi FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 88%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, 100% on the records (Al Sadd SC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Al Ahli Saudi FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Al Ahli Saudi FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Al Ahli Saudi FC Over 1.5 goals (Al Sadd SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Al Sadd SC 2-2 Al Ahli Saudi FC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).