Pakhtakor scored under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al Nassr Club conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Match details. AFC Champions League Elite, League Phase - 4. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 14:45 Lagos time. It is played at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium, Tashkent. The referee is Alexander King.
What's at stake. Pakhtakor are 12th on 2 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Al Quwa Al Jawiya, 1 point clear of Tractor Sazi. A win would take them above Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Al Nassr Club are 9th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Al-Ittihad FC, level on points with Neftchi. A win would take them above Al-Ittihad FC.
Form. Pakhtakor have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. Al Nassr Club have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition Al Nassr Club have gone W L.
The numbers. Pakhtakor score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Pakhtakor average 9.8 shots (3.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Al Nassr Club score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Al Nassr Club average 15.6 shots (5.0 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 69% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Al Nassr Club are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Al Nassr Club are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Al Nassr Club. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 85% on the records (Pakhtakor: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Al Nassr Club: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Al Nassr Club Over 0.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Al Nassr Club are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Al Nassr Club are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Pakhtakor 2-1 Al Nassr Club (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).