Fiorentina vs Juventus
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
What's at stake. Fiorentina are 16th on 8 points after 10 games, level on points with Parma, level on points with Sassuolo. A win would take them above Parma. Juventus are 7th on 17 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Frosinone, 3 points clear of Napoli. A win would take them level on points with Frosinone.
Team news. Fiorentina are without R. Sottil (back injury).
Form. Fiorentina have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Juventus have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Fiorentina score 1.3 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Fiorentina average 16.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Juventus score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Juventus average 15.1 shots (5.0 on target), 8.2 corners and 1.1 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Fiorentina have won three, drawn three and lost four. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Fiorentina won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus: Fiorentina had 10 shots to 26, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Fiorentina's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. Juventus to win. A tight game. Juventus are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Juventus. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.42, 72% on the records (Fiorentina: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Juventus: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24 (75%). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Juventus or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).