GENGEN

15:00Sun 8 Nov

ACM

Genoa vs AC Milan

CLASS A

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class A

GENv

Under 3.5 Goals

Genoa v AC Milan

Italy - Serie A · 15:00

1.29odds

78%book

+1edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova.

What's at stake. Genoa are 11th on 13 points after 10 games, level on points with Torino, level on points with Cagliari. A win would take them above Torino. AC Milan are 5th on 21 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Como, 1 point clear of Frosinone. A win would take them above Como.

Team news. Genoa are without L. Venturino (jumpers knee).

Form. Genoa have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. AC Milan have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.

The numbers. Genoa score 1.3 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Genoa average 11.6 shots (3.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 42% of the ball. AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Milan average 10.6 shots (4.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 59% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Genoa have won none, drawn three and lost six. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and AC Milan won two. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Genoa 1-2 AC Milan: Genoa had 11 shots to 8, 62% of the ball, five yellow cards.

The case against. Genoa's record still gives them 27% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.

The read. AC Milan to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AC Milan the likelier winners; both teams' records favour AC Milan; the meetings favour AC Milan.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.29, 72% on the records (Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; AC Milan: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.35. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

AC Milan or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.14

GEN 5 of 6 (83%) · ACM 4 of 5 (80%)80.1%

AC Milan: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level

Genoa or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

GEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ACM 3 of 6 (50%)64.5%

Genoa: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · AC Milan: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.10

GEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ACM 4 of 6 (67%)89.9%

Genoa: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AC Milan: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.29

GEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ACM 3 of 6 (50%)78.8%

Genoa: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AC Milan: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level

Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERLEANIN CODES

1.35

GEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ACM 6 of 6 (100%)62.9%

Genoa: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · AC Milan: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 6 · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level

AC MILAN GOALS

AC Milan Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

GEN 6 of 6 (100%) · ACM 3 of 5 (60%)71.8%

AC Milan scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Genoa conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 89% · H2H 5 of 6 · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

GEN 5 of 5 (100%) · ACM 5 of 6 (83%)69%

Genoa: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · AC Milan: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 2 of 6 · on half-time scores · Genoa: only games against sides at AC Milan's level · AC Milan: only games against sides at Genoa's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.9%

Genoa goals →

AC Milan goals ↓

0-08%

1-07%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.7%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.5%

1-50.6%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GENOAWWWLWLWDLL1.60 PPG

AC MILANLWLWLWWDWL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GENOA HOMExAC MILAN AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME2.101.40CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS30%30%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.20CORNERS A GAME3.002.50CARDS A GAME1.881.01xG1.681.34xG AGAINST1.39

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.30POINTS A GAME2.10-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.90-4.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.32.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES10

AC Milan: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.

AC MILAN 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

GENOA OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

AC MILAN OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

GENOAxAC MILAN

6GAMES51.17SCORED A GAME1.601.33CONCEDED A GAME1.002.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.683%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE80%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–12.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9

GENOA 0 · 0%DRAW 3AC MILAN 6 · 67%

5 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-04-18Genoa 1 – 2 AC Milan

2021-12-01Genoa 0 – 3 AC Milan

2022-04-15Genoa 0 – 2 AC Milan

2023-10-07Genoa 0 – 1 AC Milan

2024-05-05Genoa 3 – 3 AC Milan

2024-12-15Genoa 0 – 0 AC Milan

2025-05-05Genoa 1 – 2 AC Milan

2026-01-08Genoa 1 – 1 AC Milan

TEAM NEWS

GENOA

Out: L. Venturino (Jumpers Knee)

TRENDS

Genoa have scored in 70% of their games.

AC Milan have scored in 70% of their games.

Genoa kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

AC Milan kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards