Napoli vs Lazio
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, Napoli.
What's at stake. Napoli are 8th on 14 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Juventus, level on points with Bologna. A win would take them level on points with Juventus. Lazio are 1st on 28 points after 10 games, 3 points clear of Inter.
Team news. Napoli are without A. Buongiorno (jumpers knee). Lazio are without Patric (sprained ankle).
Form. Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. Lazio have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Napoli score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Napoli average 16.2 shots (6.2 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Lazio score 2.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Lazio average 14.1 shots (5.1 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Napoli have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Napoli won one, one was drawn and Lazio won two. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Napoli 0-2 Lazio: Napoli had 12 shots to 14, 67% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 32% against the records' 60%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. No firm call: Lazio are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Lazio are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lazio; the meetings favour Lazio. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45, 71% on the records (Napoli: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Lazio: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Napoli 1-1 Lazio (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).