Match details. Super Lig, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time. It is played at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize.
What's at stake. Caykur Rizespor are 13th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Alanyaspor, level on points with Gençlerbirliği S.K.. A win would take them above Alanyaspor. Erzurumspor FK are 11th on 14 points after 10 games, level on points with Başakşehir, 2 points clear of Alanyaspor. A win would take them above Başakşehir.
Form. Caykur Rizespor have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D. In this competition Caykur Rizespor have gone D L L L D W. Erzurumspor FK have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D W. In this competition Erzurumspor FK have gone L W W D W L.
The numbers. Caykur Rizespor score 1.1 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Caykur Rizespor average 13.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Erzurumspor FK score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Erzurumspor FK average 10.2 shots (3.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Caykur Rizespor have won two, drawn three and lost two. One of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Caykur Rizespor won one, one was drawn and Erzurumspor FK won two. The last time they met, on 15 Jan 2026, it finished Caykur Rizespor 0-2 Erzurumspor FK.
The case against. Caykur Rizespor's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Erzurumspor FK to win. A tight game. Erzurumspor FK are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Erzurumspor FK. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%. Six of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Erzurumspor FK or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Erzurumspor FK or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Erzurumspor FK Over 0.5 goals (Erzurumspor FK's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Caykur Rizespor 0-1 Erzurumspor FK (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).