Torino vs Lecce
Match details. Serie A, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino.
What's at stake. Torino are 10th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Bologna, level on points with Genoa. A win would take them above Bologna. Lecce are 14th on 9 points after 10 games, 2 points behind Atalanta, 1 point clear of Parma. A win would take them above Atalanta.
Team news. Torino are without P. Pellegri (jumpers knee).
Form. Torino have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W. Lecce have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.
The numbers. Torino score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Torino average 11.2 shots (4.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Lecce score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Lecce average 13.5 shots (5.2 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Torino have won five, drawn one and lost three. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Torino won one, one was drawn and Lecce won two. The last time they met, on 1 Feb 2026, it finished Torino 1-0 Lecce: Torino had 17 shots to 14, 42% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Lecce's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Torino to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Torino the likelier winners; Torino are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Torino. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Lecce Under 1.5 Goals at 1.30, 75% on the records (Lecce scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away; Torino conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 9). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Torino 2-1 Lecce (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).