Match details. Southern League Premier South. Kick-off is Tue 3 Nov, 20:45 Lagos time.
Form. Chippenham Town have won none, drawn five and lost five of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. Evesham United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. Chippenham Town score 0.7 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Chippenham Town average 6.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Evesham United score one and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Evesham United average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Chippenham Town's record still gives them 36% to win.
The read. Evesham United to win. A tight game. Evesham United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Evesham United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Evesham United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Chippenham Town Under 1.5 goals (Evesham United's own games don't back it (2 of 7)). Predicted score: Chippenham Town 0-1 Evesham United (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).