FC Malaga City vs CD Huetor Vega
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 Lagos time.
Form. FC Malaga City have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten league games, 0.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. CD Huetor Vega have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L W D.
The numbers. FC Malaga City score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Malaga City average 9.4 shots (4.2 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CD Huetor Vega score 1.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Huetor Vega average 14.7 shots (5.7 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Malaga City the likelier winners, but CD Huetor Vega are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Huetor Vega.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27, rated 88% (FC Malaga City: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CD Huetor Vega: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: FC Malaga City 2-1 CD Huetor Vega (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Malaga City the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).