Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou vs PAS Korinthos

Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 7 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou are 1st on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Pelopas Kiatou. PAS Korinthos are 7th on 5 points after 5 games, level on points with Panargiakos, level on points with Panthouriakos. A win would take them above Panargiakos.

Form. Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. PAS Korinthos have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.

The numbers. Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou average 7.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. PAS Korinthos score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. PAS Korinthos average 5.0 shots (1.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 42% against the records' 63%.

The read. No firm call: Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou the likelier winners; Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: PAS Korinthos Over 0.5 Goals (PAS Korinthos's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Pao Iraklis Xilokastrou 2-1 PAS Korinthos (10% chance).