Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 8 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Egaleo AO are 1st on 15 points after 5 games, level on points with Vyrona. Vyrona are 2nd on 15 points after 5 games, level on points with Egaleo, 3 points clear of Apollon Smirnis. A win would take them above Egaleo.
Form. Egaleo AO have won five, drawn none and lost none of their last five, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Vyrona have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, 2.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Egaleo AO score two and concede 0.2 a game over their last five, with four clean sheets. Egaleo AO average 4.7 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Vyrona score 1.5 and concede 0.2 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Vyrona average 5.8 shots (2.3 on target), 3.0 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The case against. Vyrona's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Egaleo AO to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Egaleo AO the likelier winners; Egaleo AO are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Egaleo AO. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Egaleo AO 1-0 Vyrona (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).