AO Neos Acharnaikos vs Kyanous Asteras Varis
Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 9 - 6. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AO Neos Acharnaikos are 11th on 0 points after 4 games, 3 points behind Saronikos Anavyssou. A win would take them level on points with Saronikos Anavyssou. Kyanous Asteras Varis are 4th on 10 points after 5 games, level on points with Thyella Diastavroseos, 2 points clear of Pannaxiakos. A win would take them above Thyella Diastavroseos.
Form. AO Neos Acharnaikos have won none, drawn two and lost five of their last seven, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Kyanous Asteras Varis have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L.
The numbers. AO Neos Acharnaikos score none and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. AO Neos Acharnaikos average 4.8 shots (0.8 on target), 2.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Kyanous Asteras Varis score 0.7 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kyanous Asteras Varis average 7.6 shots (2.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Kyanous Asteras Varis are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Kyanous Asteras Varis the likelier winners; Kyanous Asteras Varis are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Kyanous Asteras Varis. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AO Neos Acharnaikos 0-1 Kyanous Asteras Varis (21% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).