Match details. Serie A, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. AS Roma W have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. SSC Napoli have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W.
The numbers. AS Roma W score 2.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AS Roma W average 9.0 shots (3.8 on target), 2.9 corners and 0.8 cards a game. SSC Napoli score 1.4 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SSC Napoli average 8.9 shots (4.1 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: AS Roma W are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AS Roma W the likelier winners; AS Roma W are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Roma W. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Roma W or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); AS Roma W or Both Teams Score (the signs point different ways); AS Roma W Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: AS Roma W 2-1 SSC Napoli (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).