Match details. Damallsvenskan. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Malmo FF have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. IFK Norrkoping DFK have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Malmo FF score 2.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Malmo FF average 6.5 corners and 0.8 cards a game. IFK Norrkoping DFK score one and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. IFK Norrkoping DFK average 5.3 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The read. Malmo FF to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Malmo FF the likelier winners; Malmo FF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Malmo FF. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. Best bet: Malmo FF (Draw No Bet) at 1.10, 77% on the records (Malmo FF won 5 of 5 at home (draws left out); IFK Norrkoping DFK lost 4 of 7 (draws left out)). Leave: Malmo FF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Malmo FF or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Malmo FF 1-0 IFK Norrkoping DFK (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).