SSSIM

17:00Mon 2 Nov

NAM

Simba SC vs Namungo FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam.

Form. Simba SC have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Namungo FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.

The numbers. Simba SC score 3.3 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Simba SC average 11.2 shots (5.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Namungo FC score one and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Namungo FC average 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.

The case against. Namungo FC's record still gives them 25% to win.

The read. Simba SC to win. Their goals for and against make Simba SC the likelier winners; Simba SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Simba SC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner, no Unders); Simba SC Over 1.5 goals (Namungo FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Simba SC 1-0 Namungo FC (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

SIMBA SC GOALS

Simba SC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SIM 6 of 6 (100%) · NAM 6 of 10 (60%)87.6%

Simba SC scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Namungo FC conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Simba SC: only games against sides at Namungo FC's level · Namungo FC: only games against sides at Simba SC's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Simba SC Over 1.5 goals (Namungo FC's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Simba SC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

Simba SC goals →

Namungo FC goals ↓

0-07%

1-011%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-10.9%

0-23%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

SIMBA SCWWWWWWWWWW3.00 PPG

NAMUNGO FCWWWLLLLWWL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SIMBA SC HOMExNAMUNGO FC AWAY

2.22SCORED A GAME1.000.44CONCEDED A GAME1.2060%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.441.00CARDS A GAME1.22

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SIMBA SC OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

3.00POINTS A GAME1.50+1.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20+5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.63.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES10

Simba SC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

SIMBA SC TO SCORE

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

SIMBA SC 2:0 HANDICAP

–

61 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

DOUBLE CHANCE: SIMBA SC OR DRAW

–

58 OF 64

NO PRICE YET

SIMBA SC 1UP

–

49 OF 55

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

42%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

87%

OKAY · 85/90

SIMBA SC OR DRAW

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

NAMUNGO FC OR DRAW

10%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SIMBA SCxNAMUNGO FC

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME0.803.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Simba SC have scored in 100% of their games.

Namungo FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Simba SC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

Namungo FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards