Danubio FC Montevideo vs San Jacinto Keguay
Match details. Primera Division, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Danubio FC Montevideo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L. San Jacinto Keguay have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Danubio FC Montevideo score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Danubio FC Montevideo average 5.4 shots (2.4 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game. San Jacinto Keguay score 1.8 and concede 3.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. San Jacinto Keguay average 4.0 shots (2.7 on target), 1.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game.
The case against. San Jacinto Keguay's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Danubio FC Montevideo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Danubio FC Montevideo the likelier winners; Danubio FC Montevideo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Danubio FC Montevideo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 100% (Danubio FC Montevideo: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; San Jacinto Keguay: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10). Predicted score: Danubio FC Montevideo 2-1 San Jacinto Keguay (8% chance).
The agreed story. Danubio FC Montevideo or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).