Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
What's at stake. Gamba Osaka are 16th on 12 points after 13 games, level on points with V-varen Nagasaki, 1 point clear of Tokyo Verdy. A win would take them above V-varen Nagasaki. Cerezo Osaka are 12th on 14 points after 13 games, level on points with Nagoya Grampus, level on points with Shimizu S-pulse. A win would take them above Nagoya Grampus.
Form. Gamba Osaka have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D L. In this competition Gamba Osaka have gone D D W D L L. Cerezo Osaka have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L D. In this competition Cerezo Osaka have gone L D D L D D.
The numbers. Gamba Osaka score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Gamba Osaka average 13.8 shots (4.6 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Cerezo Osaka score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Cerezo Osaka average 14.6 shots (3.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Gamba Osaka have won three, drawn one and lost five. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Gamba Osaka won one and Cerezo Osaka won three. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Gamba Osaka 0-1 Cerezo Osaka: Gamba Osaka had 18 shots to 9, 53% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Gamba Osaka are the form side, but the meetings favour Cerezo Osaka: in the last nine meetings, Gamba Osaka won three, Cerezo Osaka won five and one was drawn.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gamba Osaka Over 0.5 goals (Gamba Osaka's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Cerezo Osaka (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).