MZMAC

06:00Sun 8 Nov

SAN

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Machida GION Stadium.

What's at stake. Machida Zelvia are 3rd on 28 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima, level on points with Kashiwa Reysol. A win would take them above Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2nd on 29 points after 13 games, 1 point behind FC Tokyo, 1 point clear of Machida Zelvia. A win would take them above FC Tokyo.

Form. Machida Zelvia have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Machida Zelvia have gone D D W W W L. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sanfrecce Hiroshima have gone W W L W W W.

The numbers. Machida Zelvia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Machida Zelvia average 13.5 shots (6.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 20.0 shots (6.9 on target), 8.8 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 69% of the ball.

Head to head. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won all of the last four meetings. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 4 Oct 2025, it finished Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Machida Zelvia had 8 shots to 15, 31% of the ball, three yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Machida Zelvia's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima; the meetings favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MAC 5 of 6 (83%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.39

MAC 5 of 6 (83%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)75.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

MAC 4 of 6 (67%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)70.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)63.8%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 away · Machida Zelvia trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.92

MAC 2 of 5 (40%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)59%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 50% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · rule 2: the meetings back Sanfrecce Hiroshima: in the last 4 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4; in the last 4, Sa

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1UPSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.62

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SAN 5 of 7 (71%)50.5%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 7 away · Machida Zelvia trailed in 1 of 5 at home · rule 2: the meetings back Sanfrecce Hiroshima: in the last 4 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4; in the last 4, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 4

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)86.8%

Machida Zelvia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)75.2%

Machida Zelvia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.39

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)72.1%

Machida Zelvia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SAN 3 of 6 (50%)57.9%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES

1.71

MAC 6 of 8 (75%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Machida Zelvia's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.6%

Machida Zelvia goals →

Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MACHIDA ZELVIADWWDLWWWDD1.90 PPG

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMADWLWWWWLWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MACHIDA ZELVIA HOMExSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8080%CLEAN SHEETS80%15%FAILED TO SCORE15%4.38CORNERS A GAME8.751.88CARDS A GAME0.882.15xG2.611.31xG AGAINST0.79

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.15POINTS A GAME2.23+1.54GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.69+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.62.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.413LEAGUE GAMES13

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

MACHIDA ZELVIA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MACHIDA ZELVIAxSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

6GAMES71.83SCORED A GAME1.711.17CONCEDED A GAME1.143.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.983%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%67%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.3–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.3

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MACHIDA ZELVIA 0 · 0%DRAW 0SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 4 · 100%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-04-03Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2024-09-28Machida Zelvia 0 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2025-02-16Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2025-10-04Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

TRENDS

Machida Zelvia have scored in 70% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 90% of their games.

Machida Zelvia kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards