Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory
Match details. A-League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 07:00 Lagos time.
Form. Brisbane Roar FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Melbourne Victory have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. Brisbane Roar FC score 2.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Brisbane Roar FC average 10.1 shots (4.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Melbourne Victory score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Melbourne Victory average 7.6 shots (3.3 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Melbourne Victory are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Brisbane Roar FC.
The case against. Brisbane Roar FC's record still gives them 53% to win.
The read. Melbourne Victory or the draw. An open game. Melbourne Victory are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Brisbane Roar FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.19, 71% on the records (Brisbane Roar FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Melbourne Victory: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Brisbane Roar FC 1-2 Melbourne Victory (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).