Jeju SK FC vs Gwangju FC
Match details. K-League 1, Relegation Group - 35. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Jeju World Cup Stadium , Seogwipo.
What's at stake. Jeju SK FC are 7th on 47 points after 34 games, 1 point clear of FC Anyang. Gwangju FC are 12th on 22 points after 34 games, 10 points behind Bucheon FC 1995. Jeju SK FC have nothing left to play for. It is played over two legs.
Form. Jeju SK FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Jeju SK FC have gone D L L L W D. Gwangju FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. In this competition Gwangju FC have gone D W L W D D.
The numbers. Jeju SK FC score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Jeju SK FC average 13.1 shots (3.3 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Gwangju FC score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Gwangju FC average 12.2 shots (4.5 on target), 1.9 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Jeju SK FC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Two of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Jeju SK FC won two, one was drawn and Gwangju FC won one. The last time they met, on 9 Sep 2026, it finished Jeju SK FC 1-0 Gwangju FC: Jeju SK FC had 18 shots to 12, 51% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 56% against the records' 28%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. No firm call: Jeju SK FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Jeju SK FC the likelier winners; Jeju SK FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Eight of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Jeju SK FC 1-1 Gwangju FC (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).