Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka.
What's at stake. Shimizu S-Pulse are 13th on 14 points after 13 games, level on points with Cerezo Osaka, 1 point clear of Kyoto Sanga. A win would take them above Cerezo Osaka. Tokyo Verdy are 17th on 11 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Gamba Osaka, 1 point clear of JEF United Chiba. A win would take them above Gamba Osaka.
Form. Shimizu S-Pulse have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Tokyo Verdy have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L.
The numbers. Shimizu S-Pulse score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Shimizu S-Pulse average 10.2 shots (3.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Tokyo Verdy score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Tokyo Verdy average 10.2 shots (3.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Shimizu S-Pulse have won five, drawn one and lost two. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Shimizu S-Pulse won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Oct 2025, it finished Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy: Shimizu S-Pulse had 6 shots to 10, 41% of the ball, four yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Tokyo Verdy's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. Shimizu S-Pulse to win. A tight game. Both teams' records favour Shimizu S-Pulse; the meetings favour Shimizu S-Pulse. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).