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MALI - LIGUE 1
AS Korofina crestAKASK
17:00Mon 2 Nov
DERDerby Academie crestDA

AS Korofina vs Derby Academie

CLASS D
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THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.

Form. AS Korofina have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. Derby Academie have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L.

The numbers. AS Korofina score 0.7 and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AS Korofina average 6.1 shots (3.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Derby Academie score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Derby Academie average 9.6 shots (4.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Korofina 1-1 Derby Academie (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASK 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 5 of 5 (100%)97.5%
AS Korofina: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Derby Academie: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 92% · AS Korofina: only games in Derby Academie's division · Derby Academie: only games against sides at AS Korofina's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASK 6 of 6 (100%) · DER 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
AS Korofina: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Derby Academie: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · AS Korofina: only games in Derby Academie's division · Derby Academie: only games against sides at AS Korofina's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASK 4 of 6 (67%) · DER 4 of 5 (80%)76.1%
AS Korofina's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 at home · Derby Academie's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · AS Korofina: only games in Derby Academie's division · Derby Academie: only games against sides at AS Korofina's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.7%
AS Korofina goals →
Derby Academie goals ↓
0-010%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-114%
2-17%
3-12%
4-10.6%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10
AS KOROFINALLWWDLWLLL1.00 PPG
DERBY ACADEMIELDLWLDWDDW1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AS KOROFINA HOMExDERBY ACADEMIE AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME1.201.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.44CORNERS A GAME4.712.22CARDS A GAME2.57
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
AS KOROFINA OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
AS Korofina have scored in 60% of their games.
Derby Academie have scored in 60% of their games.
AS Korofina kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Derby Academie kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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