Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ethiopia Nigd Bank have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Ethiopian Medhin have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L.
The numbers. Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Ethiopia Nigd Bank average 6.7 shots (2.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Ethiopian Medhin score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Ethiopian Medhin average 4.9 shots (0.9 on target), 1.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Ethiopian Medhin's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Ethiopia Nigd Bank to win. A tight game. Ethiopia Nigd Bank are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%.
The bets. Best bet: Ethiopia Nigd Bank or Draw at 1.36, 78% on the records (Ethiopia Nigd Bank unbeaten in 4 of 5; Ethiopian Medhin failed to win 5 of 6 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Ethiopia Nigd Bank are a clear winner, no Unders); Over 2.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 2.5 Goals (Ethiopia Nigd Bank are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-0 Ethiopian Medhin (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).