Match details. Azadegan League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Besat Kermanshah have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. SaiPa FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W.
The numbers. Besat Kermanshah score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SaiPa FC score one and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal.
The case against. Besat Kermanshah's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. SaiPa FC to win. A tight game. SaiPa FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour SaiPa FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or SaiPa FC at 1.29, 72% on the records (SaiPa FC unbeaten in 5 of 8; Besat Kermanshah failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Besat Kermanshah 0-1 SaiPa FC (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).