Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Santa Clara Azores B have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L L. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L D.
The numbers. Santa Clara Azores B score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Santa Clara Azores B average 5.4 shots (2.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense score 0.7 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. SC Mineiro Aljustrelense average 7.8 shots (2.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 35%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%.
The read. No firm call: Santa Clara Azores B are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Santa Clara Azores B the likelier winners; Santa Clara Azores B are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Santa Clara Azores B 1-1 SC Mineiro Aljustrelense (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).