Match details. Superliga, Women. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Farul Constanta have won six, drawn none and lost two of their last eight league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W L W. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their last nine league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. FC Farul Constanta score 7.6 and concede one a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. FC Farul Constanta average 24.7 shots (12.8 on target), 5.5 corners and 0.7 cards a game. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud score 4.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last nine, with four clean sheets. CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud average 18.3 shots (11.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 7% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Farul Constanta 2-2 CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud (6% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CS Gloria 2018 Bistrita-Nasaud the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).