Match details. Pervaya Liga, Regular Season - 31. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Volna Stadium, Pinsk.
Form. FC Volna Pinsk have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L L. FC Smorgon have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W L.
The numbers. FC Volna Pinsk score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Volna Pinsk average 3.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game. FC Smorgon score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. FC Smorgon average 5.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 35% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: FC Smorgon are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Smorgon the likelier winners; FC Smorgon are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Smorgon. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 90% on the records (FC Volna Pinsk: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10; FC Smorgon: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: FC Smorgon Over 0.5 Goals at 1.25. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Volna Pinsk Under 1.5 goals (FC Smorgon's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Volna Pinsk 1-2 FC Smorgon (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).