AD Frei Paulistano SE vs Barra SE
Barra SE scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · AD Frei Paulistano SE conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Barra SE: only games against sides at AD Frei Paulistano SE's level
Match details. Sergipano, Serie A2, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Frei Paulistano SE are 6th on 0 points after 1 game. Barra SE are 4th on 1 point after 1 game, 1 point clear of Olímpico SE.
Form. AD Frei Paulistano SE have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. In this competition AD Frei Paulistano SE have gone L W W L W W. Barra SE have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. In this competition Barra SE have gone D.
The numbers. AD Frei Paulistano SE score 2.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Barra SE score 0.8 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 20 Oct 2024, it finished AD Frei Paulistano SE 1-1 Barra SE.
The case against. Barra SE's record still gives them 24% to win.
The read. AD Frei Paulistano SE to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AD Frei Paulistano SE the likelier winners; AD Frei Paulistano SE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Frei Paulistano SE. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 75% on the records (AD Frei Paulistano SE: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10; Barra SE: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Barra SE Under 1.5 Goals at 1.46. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); AD Frei Paulistano SE Over 1.5 goals (AD Frei Paulistano SE's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: AD Frei Paulistano SE 2-1 Barra SE (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).