KS Burreli vs Bylis Ballsh
Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel.
What's at stake. KS Burreli are 11th on 6 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Sopoti Librazhd, 4 points clear of Oriku. A win would take them above Sopoti Librazhd. Bylis Ballsh are 6th on 12 points after 8 games, level on points with Flamurtari, 1 point clear of Besëlidhja Lezhë. A win would take them above Flamurtari.
Form. KS Burreli have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. Bylis Ballsh have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. KS Burreli score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. KS Burreli average 6.4 shots (2.0 on target), 1.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Bylis Ballsh score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bylis Ballsh average 8.8 shots (3.4 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings KS Burreli have won one, drawn none and lost four. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, KS Burreli won one and Bylis Ballsh won three. The last time they met, on 27 Mar 2024, it finished KS Burreli 1-0 Bylis Ballsh.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. Bylis Ballsh to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Bylis Ballsh the likelier winners; Bylis Ballsh are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bylis Ballsh; the meetings favour Bylis Ballsh. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Bylis Ballsh at 1.21, 91% on the records (Bylis Ballsh unbeaten in 8 of 8; KS Burreli failed to win 8 of 9). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Bylis Ballsh or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Bylis Ballsh or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: KS Burreli 0-1 Bylis Ballsh (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).