Atlas FC vs CF Pachuca
Match details. Liga MX, Apertura - 16. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara.
What's at stake. Atlas FC are 4th on 27 points after 15 games, 2 points behind Cruz Azul, 3 points clear of Toluca. A win would take them above Cruz Azul. CF Pachuca are 12th on 19 points after 15 games, 1 point behind Club Queretaro, level on points with Atletico San Luis. A win would take them above Club Queretaro.
Form. Atlas FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D. In this competition Atlas FC have gone W W L W D W. CF Pachuca have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition CF Pachuca have gone W W L L D L.
The numbers. Atlas FC score 1.7 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Atlas FC average 15.0 shots (4.2 on target), 7.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. CF Pachuca score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CF Pachuca average 17.6 shots (5.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atlas FC have won three, drawn one and lost six. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Atlas FC won one, one was drawn and CF Pachuca won two. The last time they met, on 14 Feb 2026, it finished Atlas FC 1-3 CF Pachuca: Atlas FC had 15 shots to 7, 62% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. CF Pachuca's record still gives them 49% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Atlas FC or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour CF Pachuca; the meetings favour CF Pachuca. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (Atlas FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; CF Pachuca: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Atlas FC 2-1 CF Pachuca (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).