Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 01:00 Lagos time. It is played at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego.
What's at stake. San Diego FC are 13th on 38 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Minnesota United FC, 4 points clear of Austin. A win would take them level on points with Minnesota United FC. Sporting Kansas City are 15th on 23 points after 33 games, 11 points behind Austin. San Diego FC have nothing left to play for. Sporting Kansas City have nothing left to play for.
Form. San Diego FC have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D D D. Sporting Kansas City have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. San Diego FC score 1.7 and concede 2.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. San Diego FC average 14.4 shots (4.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Sporting Kansas City score 1.6 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Sporting Kansas City average 12.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings San Diego FC have won two, drawn one and lost none. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished San Diego FC 1-0 Sporting Kansas City: San Diego FC had 15 shots to 5, 67% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 40%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%; three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: San Diego FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make San Diego FC the likelier winners; the meetings favour San Diego FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: San Diego FC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).