Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew
Match details. MLS. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chicago Fire have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L. Columbus Crew have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Chicago Fire score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Chicago Fire average 4.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Columbus Crew score 2.2 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Columbus Crew average 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Columbus Crew's record still gives them 64% to win.
The read. Chicago Fire or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Columbus Crew. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.13, 76% on the records (Chicago Fire: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Columbus Crew: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.12. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2-1 Columbus Crew (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).