GNGDN

16:00Sun 1 Nov

SER

Gd Nazarenos vs Sertanense FC

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Campeonato de Portugal. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Gd Nazarenos have won two, drawn one and lost six of their last nine, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Sertanense FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L.

The numbers. Gd Nazarenos score 0.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Gd Nazarenos average 7.6 shots (2.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game. Sertanense FC score 0.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Sertanense FC average 5.2 shots (2.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 4.2 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gd Nazarenos 1-1 Sertanense FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GDN 6 of 6 (100%) · SER 5 of 5 (100%)95.3%

Gd Nazarenos: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GDN 6 of 6 (100%) · SER 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%

Gd Nazarenos: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

GDN 5 of 6 (83%) · SER 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%

Gd Nazarenos's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Sertanense FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Gd Nazarenos: only games against sides at Sertanense FC's level · Sertanense FC: only games against sides at Gd Nazarenos's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Gd Nazarenos goals →

Sertanense FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

GD NAZARENOSWLLLLLLWD0.78 PPG

SERTANENSE FCLWLDLLDLDD0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

GD NAZARENOS HOMExSERTANENSE FC AWAY

0.67SCORED A GAME0.901.78CONCEDED A GAME1.4011%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.43CORNERS A GAME4.332.57CARDS A GAME4.17

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Gd Nazarenos have scored in 44% of their games.

Sertanense FC have scored in 60% of their games.

Gd Nazarenos kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.

Sertanense FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards