Skjervoey vs Lillestrom SK 2
Match details. 3. Division, Group 5. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Skjervoey have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Lillestrom SK 2 have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L.
The numbers. Skjervoey score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Skjervoey average 4.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Lillestrom SK 2 score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Lillestrom SK 2 average 5.8 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 24% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Lillestrom SK 2 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Lillestrom SK 2 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lillestrom SK 2. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Lillestrom SK 2 or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Skjervoey 2-1 Lillestrom SK 2 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).