Foerde vs Askoey FK
Match details. 3. Division, Group 3, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Foerde are 9th on 31 points after 25 games, 2 points behind Stord, 1 point clear of Sogndal II. A win would take them above Stord. Askoey FK are 5th on 43 points after 25 games, 1 point behind Fana, 3 points clear of Brann II. A win would take them above Fana. Foerde have nothing left to play for. Askoey FK have nothing left to play for.
Form. Foerde have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D. In this competition Foerde have gone L L L W D L. Askoey FK have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Askoey FK have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. Foerde score 1.7 and concede three a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Foerde average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Askoey FK score two and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Askoey FK average 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last five meetings Foerde have won two, drawn one and lost two. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Foerde won two and Askoey FK won two. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2026, it finished Foerde 0-2 Askoey FK.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; four of the last five meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Foerde's record still gives them 34% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. Askoey FK to win. A tight game. Askoey FK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Askoey FK. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Askoey FK or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Foerde Under 1.5 goals (Foerde's own games don't back it (5 of 10)). Predicted score: Foerde 0-1 Askoey FK (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).