AUADE

07:00Sun 8 Nov

MEL

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 07:00 Lagos time. It is played at Coopers Stadium, Adelaide.

What's at stake. Adelaide United FC are 12th on 0 points after 2 games, 2 points behind Newcastle Jets. A win would take them above Newcastle Jets. Melbourne Victory FC are 9th on 2 points after 3 games, 1 point behind Perth Glory, level on points with Central Coast Mariners. A win would take them above Perth Glory.

Form. Adelaide United FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition Adelaide United FC have gone L L L D. Melbourne Victory FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L.

The numbers. Adelaide United FC score 0.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Adelaide United FC average 13.7 shots (4.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. Melbourne Victory FC score 0.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Melbourne Victory FC average 11.9 shots (3.6 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Adelaide United FC have won two, drawn three and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Adelaide United FC won one, one was drawn and Melbourne Victory FC won two. The last time they met, on 27 Feb 2026, it finished Adelaide United FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory FC: Adelaide United FC had 12 shots to 19, 55% of the ball, five yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Adelaide United FC 1-1 Melbourne Victory FC (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Melbourne Victory FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ADE 4 of 6 (67%) · MEL 10 of 10 (100%)85.7%

Melbourne Victory FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6

Melbourne Victory FC win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.20

ADE 3 of 6 (50%) · MEL 9 of 10 (90%)78.8%

Melbourne Victory FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.28

ADE 3 of 5 (60%) · MEL 4 of 6 (67%)72.2%

Melbourne Victory FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Melbourne Victory FC or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.40

ADE 5 of 6 (83%) · MEL 8 of 10 (80%)64.4%

Melbourne Victory FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6

Melbourne Victory FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

ADE 2 of 6 (33%) · MEL 9 of 10 (90%)63.4%

Melbourne Victory FC: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6

Double Chance: Draw or Melbourne Victory FCLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

ADE 4 of 6 (67%) · MEL 8 of 10 (80%)61.6%

Melbourne Victory FC unbeaten in 4 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6

Melbourne Victory FC or draw and over 1.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.69

ADE 8 of 10 (80%) · MEL 2 of 6 (33%)55.3%

Adelaide United FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC: the bet landed in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · rule 2: the meetings back Melbourne Victory FC: in the last 10 meetings, Adelaide United FC won 2, Melbourne Victory FC won 5 and 3 were drawn; in the last 4, Adelaide United FC won 1, Melbourne Victory FC won 2 and 1 was drawn

Melbourne Victory FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.61

ADE 2 of 5 (40%) · MEL 2 of 6 (33%)54.4%

Melbourne Victory FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC trailed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Melbourne Victory FC (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY

1.74

ADE 2 of 5 (40%) · MEL 7 of 9 (78%)52.2%

Melbourne Victory FC won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Adelaide United FC lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · H2H 3 of 5 · won 4, refunded 3, lost 3

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

ADE 9 of 10 (90%) · MEL 6 of 6 (100%)90.1%

Adelaide United FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 95% · H2H 4 of 6

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

ADE 10 of 10 (100%) · MEL 4 of 6 (67%)74.2%

Adelaide United FC: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.52

ADE 4 of 10 (40%) · MEL 2 of 6 (33%)58.9%

Adelaide United FC: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC: both scored in 2 of 6 away · both last 10: 45% · H2H 5 of 6

ADELAIDE UNITED FC GOALS

Adelaide United FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.25

ADE 5 of 10 (50%) · MEL 3 of 6 (50%)72.6%

Adelaide United FC scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC conceded in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 5 of 6

Adelaide United FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.65

ADE 8 of 10 (80%) · MEL 4 of 6 (67%)54.2%

Adelaide United FC scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Melbourne Victory FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 3 of 6

MELBOURNE VICTORY FC GOALS

Melbourne Victory FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.20

ADE 3 of 6 (50%) · MEL 9 of 10 (90%)74%

Melbourne Victory FC scored in 3 of 6 away · Adelaide United FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 6 of 6

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Adelaide United FC goals →

Melbourne Victory FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41.0%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

ADELAIDE UNITED FCDLLLWWLLLL0.70 PPG

MELBOURNE VICTORY FCDWDDWLDLDL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ADELAIDE UNITED FC HOMExMELBOURNE VICTORY FC AWAY

0.80SCORED A GAME1.002.20CONCEDED A GAME0.9010%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.00CORNERS A GAME5.301.67CARDS A GAME1.80

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

ADELAIDE UNITED FC 2 · 20%DRAW 3MELBOURNE VICTORY FC 5 · 50%

8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-02-26Adelaide United FC 1 – 1 Melbourne Victory FC

2023-11-04Adelaide United FC 1 – 1 Melbourne Victory FC

2023-12-30Adelaide United FC 0 – 2 Melbourne Victory FC

2024-03-09Adelaide United FC 1 – 2 Melbourne Victory FC

2024-09-21Adelaide United FC 0 – 1 Melbourne Victory FC

2025-01-18Adelaide United FC 3 – 2 Melbourne Victory FC

2025-03-29Adelaide United FC 3 – 5 Melbourne Victory FC

2025-12-13Adelaide United FC 1 – 2 Melbourne Victory FC

TRENDS

Adelaide United FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Melbourne Victory FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Adelaide United FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Melbourne Victory FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards