Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus.
What's at stake. Olympiacos are 2nd on 22 points after 9 games, 2 points behind Panathinaikos, 4 points clear of PAOK. A win would take them above Panathinaikos. PAOK are 3rd on 18 points after 9 games, 4 points behind Olympiakos Piraeus, 1 point clear of AEK Athens FC.
Form. Olympiacos have won nine, drawn one and lost none of their last ten, 2.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. PAOK have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W L.
The numbers. Olympiacos score 1.8 and concede 0.3 a game over their last ten, with eight clean sheets. Olympiacos average 15.3 shots (4.8 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. PAOK score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. PAOK average 12.5 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Olympiacos have won three, drawn two and lost five. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, two were drawn and PAOK won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished Olympiacos 1-1 PAOK: Olympiacos had 25 shots to 8, 56% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Olympiacos are the form side, but the meetings favour PAOK: in the last ten meetings, Olympiacos won three, PAOK won five and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.33, 75% on the records (Olympiacos: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5; PAOK: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.15. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Olympiacos 2-1 PAOK (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).