Freiburg vs Union Berlin
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau.
What's at stake. Freiburg are 3rd on 16 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Borussia Dortmund, 1 point clear of RB Leipzig. A win would take them above Borussia Dortmund. Union Berlin are 16th on 7 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Hamburger SV, 1 point clear of FC Schalke 04. A win would take them above Hamburger SV.
Form. Freiburg have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. Union Berlin have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D W.
The numbers. Freiburg score 2.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Freiburg average 12.8 shots (5.3 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Union Berlin score one and concede 3.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Union Berlin average 9.6 shots (4.2 on target), 3.4 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Freiburg have won one, drawn four and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Union Berlin won two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Freiburg 0-1 Union Berlin: Freiburg had 19 shots to 9, 73% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Freiburg the likelier winners, but Freiburg are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Union Berlin.
The case against. Union Berlin's record still gives them 30% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Freiburg to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Freiburg the likelier winners; Freiburg are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Union Berlin. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Freiburg or Draw at 1.15, 87% on the records (a proven pattern for games read like this one (team or draw)). Predicted score: Freiburg 2-1 Union Berlin (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).