Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Océane, Le Havre.
What's at stake. Le Havre are 18th on 2 points after 9 games, 5 points behind Le Mans. Lorient are 11th on 12 points after 9 games, level on points with Stade Brestois 29, 2 points clear of Toulouse. A win would take them above Stade Brestois 29.
Form. Le Havre have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Lorient have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L.
The numbers. Le Havre score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Le Havre average 11.7 shots (4.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Lorient score 0.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Lorient average 8.4 shots (2.2 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Le Havre have won two, drawn four and lost one. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Le Havre won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 17 May 2026, it finished Le Havre 2-0 Lorient: Le Havre had 7 shots to 12, 40% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Lorient are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Le Havre. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Le Havre's record still gives them 32% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Lorient or the draw. Lorient are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Le Havre.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Le Havre 1-1 Lorient (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).