Brest vs Lyon
Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:15 Lagos time.
Form. Brest have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Lyon have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L W.
The numbers. Brest score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Brest average 13.9 shots (5.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Lyon score 0.7 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Lyon average 10.3 shots (4.9 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Brest 1-1 Lyon (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).