Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC
Match details. A-League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 05:00 Lagos time. It is played at Go Media Stadium, Auckland.
What's at stake. Auckland FC are 6th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with Sydney, level on points with Melbourne City. A win would take them above Sydney. Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st on 9 points after 3 games, 4 points clear of Western Sydney Wanderers.
Team news. Auckland FC are without A. Calver (ankle injury), C. Howieson (calf injury), O. Middleton (knee injury), A. Calver (ankle injury), C. Howieson (calf injury), O. Middleton (knee injury). Wellington Phoenix FC are without F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive), F. Conchie (inactive), I. Hughes (inactive), J. Smith (inactive).
Form. Auckland FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W. Wellington Phoenix FC have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. Auckland FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Auckland FC average 9.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 37% of the ball. Wellington Phoenix FC score 1.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Wellington Phoenix FC average 9.2 shots (3.1 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 34% of the ball.
Head to head. Auckland FC have won all of the last six meetings. Five of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Auckland FC won four. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Auckland FC 5-0 Wellington Phoenix FC: Auckland FC had 10 shots to 8, 50% of the ball, six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Wellington Phoenix FC are the form side, but the meetings favour Auckland FC: in the last six meetings, Auckland FC won six.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Five of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.26, 78% on the records (Auckland FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5; Wellington Phoenix FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Auckland FC 2-1 Wellington Phoenix FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).