DC United vs New York City FC
Match details. MLS, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Audi Field, Washington.
What's at stake. DC United are 14th on 33 points after 33 games, level on points with Atlanta United FC, 7 points clear of CF Montreal. A win would take them above Atlanta United FC. New York City FC are 11th on 39 points after 33 games, level on points with New York Red Bulls, level on points with Toronto FC. A win would take them above New York Red Bulls. DC United have nothing left to play for. New York City FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. DC United have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. In this competition DC United have gone L L L L L W. New York City FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. In this competition New York City FC have gone D W D D L L.
The numbers. DC United score 0.9 and concede 2.3 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. DC United average 12.6 shots (3.6 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 40% of the ball. New York City FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. New York City FC average 13.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings DC United have won four, drawn two and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, DC United won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished DC United 2-0 New York City FC: DC United had 19 shots to 9, 27% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. New York City FC are the form side, but the meetings favour DC United: in the last ten meetings, DC United won four, New York City FC won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: New York City FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); New York City FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); New York City FC win or both teams score (no result call). Predicted score: DC United 1-1 New York City FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).