Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Match details. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at MHPArena, Stuttgart.
What's at stake. Stuttgart are 11th on 9 points after 8 games, level on points with FC Augsburg, level on points with 1899 Hoffenheim. A win would take them above FC Augsburg. Werder Bremen are 5th on 15 points after 8 games, level on points with RB Leipzig, 2 points clear of Bayer Leverkusen. A win would take them above RB Leipzig.
Form. Stuttgart have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Werder Bremen have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. Stuttgart score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Stuttgart average 14.2 shots (5.1 on target), 6.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Werder Bremen score two and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Werder Bremen average 11.9 shots (5.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Stuttgart have won four, drawn three and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Stuttgart won one, two were drawn and Werder Bremen won one. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2026, it finished Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen: Stuttgart had 20 shots to 9, 69% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Stuttgart the likelier winners, but Werder Bremen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Werder Bremen.
The case against. Werder Bremen's record still gives them 52% to win.
The read. Stuttgart or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Stuttgart the likelier winners; Werder Bremen are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Werder Bremen. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.09, 77% on the records (Stuttgart: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6; Werder Bremen: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8). Full cover: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.21. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).